Render of an advanced chip package bowing on its solder balls

Warpage exaggerated for illustrative purposes.

Solutions/Warpage
SolutionSemiconductors · advanced packaging

Warpage, predicted.

Package warpage, and the stress, alignment and optical performance it drives, predicted across physics and scales in a Physics Twin built for your package.

The problem

Why full-package prediction is so hard.

Heat changes shape. Shape builds stress in every layer and every solder joint. Resolving that thermal and structural response, from micrometer-scale joints to the full package, can overwhelm conventional compute.

Thermal
Temperature, heat flow and thermal cycling
Structural
Deformation, stress and strain
10 cm1 cmPackage1 mmDie and layers100 µmSolder joints10 µm1 µm

One package. Three scales, from centimeters to micrometers, in one model. The green box marks the region shown next.

Simulated warpage across the full package, with a 1 centimeter scale bar
1 cm
01 / The full package

Heat bends the package.

Different materials expand by different amounts, so the whole assembly warps.

Simulated warpage of one die region and its layers, with a 1 millimeter scale bar
1 mm
02 / One die and the layers under it

Every layer pulls differently.

Each layer expands at its own rate, building stress where the layers meet.

Simulated solder joints from the full-package model, with a 100 micrometer scale bar
100 µm
03 / The solder joints

Strain concentrates in the joints.

Package warpage loads every joint. Small, repeated strains decide which one fails first.

Simplify the model, risk missing what matters. Average away fine features, isolate components or drop a physical effect, and you can lose the interaction that determines whether the package works.

Simulation renders from one full-package model; warpage exaggerated for illustration. Reference architecture reconstructed from public Spectrum-X co-packaged optics and COUPE information.

Physics Twin in action

Know the exact solder joint failure point, up to 700× faster.

Watch a Physics Twin find the first solder joint to fail under thermal cycling, and when, before a single part is built.

  • Pinpoint which joint fails first, and after how many cycles
  • Change the package, materials or thermal profile and see the answer update
  • Every answer from validated solvers, not a surrogate model
700× vs. legacy solvers · Source: First-Principle Physics Prediction of Advanced Chip Packaging, Flexcompute white paper, 2026
The enabling technology

Powered by Tokenized Physics.

Keep the physics that matters. Make the computation practical.

AspectTraditional computer-aided engineering (CAE)Fit the problem to the tools.Tokenized PhysicsFit the model to your problem.
TurnaroundProhibitive at full detailThe reference package is estimated at a million graphics processing unit (GPU) hours by direct finite element analysis.30 minutesReported full-package solve on 8 NVIDIA B200 GPUs, with detail retained.
PhysicsOne discipline at a timeSeparate models, transferred loads and results to reconcile.Relevant physics, connectedA shared package context, with couplings scoped to your design.
ScaleFull package or fine detailAverage small features or isolate a few regions to keep the model manageable.Full package and fine detailResolve local response within the full-package model.
FidelitySimplify to make it solvableEffective layers, selected submodels or ray approximations.Full geometry, full-wave fieldsMechanics and optics solved from the governing equations.

The compute difference, in two reference cases.

Full-package mechanics
1,000,000GPU-hours · direct finite element analysis estimate
4GPU-hours · tokenized solve

110 mm package. Full layers and fine interconnect geometry.

Chip-to-fiber optics
80,000GPU-hours · brute-force estimate
0.5GPU-hours · tokenized solve

1.24 mm optical path. Full-wave propagation, end to end.

Reference-case results, not a guaranteed runtime for every design. GPU-hours measure total compute; 4 GPU-hours on 8 B200 GPUs is 30 minutes of elapsed solve time. Conventional costs are estimates, not measured runs on identical hardware. Source: Flexcompute, Semicon Taiwan presentation.

Simulate the manufacturing process

Find which manufacturing
step creates the stress.

Replay the assembly sequence to see when stress develops. In this example, underfill cure leaves substantial die stress before thermal cycling even begins.

Manufacturing example · one optical engine · stress in megapascals (MPa)Select an assembly or test step
PHOTONIC DIE · PRINCIPAL STRESSSource field
Source simulation: photonic-die maximum principal stress, stage 4, underfill cure
−25 MPa+25 MPa · display range
Stress after this step

Underfill cure

86.5 MPa
Reported peak photonic-die stress

By underfill cure, the die already carries roughly two-thirds of its later cold-cycle peak stress—at room temperature, before thermal cycling.

End of step · 20 °C
Peak photonic-die stress through six stages53.4, 16.3, 50.9, 86.5, 133.0, and 89.6 megapascals, in stage order.010203040506
What this lets you do

Identify which assembly step to change before the next build.

Inspect warpage across the full packagePackage → optical engine → connections

Separate full-package reference model. Inspect local deformation with the surrounding assembly still included.

Source simulation: full-package out-of-plane deformation
DownUp · relative out-of-plane displacement

Where does the package bend?

Inspect deformation across the entire assembly. All four solder levels, 12 embedded bridges, and the substrate layers are included in this model.

FULL-PACKAGE RESULT · DEFORMATION ×1.5
Out-of-plane shape; rigid-body motion removed.
Reference models, figures, and assumptions

The manufacturing sequence models one optical engine. Stress values are read at the end of each step, at 20 °C except the −40 °C cold extreme. Figure colors are clipped to ±25 MPa; the reported peaks come from element values. The expandable warpage views show a separate full-package reference solve, reconstructed from public NVIDIA Spectrum-X co-packaged optics architecture information rather than a vendor stack-up. Deformation magnification is labeled in each view.

These examples cover thermal loading and structural response. Local stress and strain support investigation under the stated model conditions; predicting cycles to failure requires an appropriate fatigue model and validation. Material inputs, boundary conditions, accuracy criteria, and modeling assumptions are reviewed during setup. Get the white paper

Results

A full co-packaged-optics switch package, with every solder joint modeled.

From First-Principle Physics Prediction of Advanced Chip Packaging.

837,806
Solder joints, individually meshed

Know which one fails first.

<1 hour
Full-package solve

On an 8-GPU NVIDIA B200.

1,600×
Feature-size span in one computation

From a 100 µm joint to a 110 mm package, without coarsening the mesh.

For comparison: published models that simplify the joint arrays carry about 60% error in per-cycle creep strain, and cannot reliably locate the worst-case joint.

Source: First-Principle Physics Prediction of Advanced Chip Packaging, Flexcompute white paper, 2026Read the full results
Customer success

Rigorous enough for production decisions.

700×

faster than legacy solvers

Source: First-Principle Physics Prediction of Advanced Chip Packaging, Flexcompute white paper, 2026
Digital

more of the design cycle, saving time and cost

Validation against the laws of physics, fast enough to keep pace with artificial intelligence (AI) in advanced manufacturing.

[Applied Materials logo]

Every industry is racing to put AI to work on real engineering problems, and the limit is how quickly each one can be validated against the laws of physics. Flexcompute has built something unique: simulation fast enough to keep pace with AI and rigorous enough for production decisions. In advanced manufacturing, that means more of the design cycle happens digitally, saving time and cost.

Yu Cao, Chief AI Officer, Applied Materials
The design opportunity

Make the change
while the design is still open.

Investigate package response before committing to the next build. Use the result to focus material, geometry, and process changes.

Check against your limits.

Inspect package deformation through the relevant thermal and process conditions.

Identify what to change.

Locate vulnerable regions and the assembly steps that contribute to their stress.

Compare the next candidate.

Explore material, geometry, and process changes within the same configured workspace.

Free white paper

First-Principle Physics Prediction of Advanced Chip Packaging

  • Which of 837,806 solder joints fails first, and how much margin each one has
  • How a coupled solver carries a 110 mm package down to its 100 µm joints in one computation
  • How thermal, mechanical and optical results come from one model, step by step through manufacturing
Get the white paperAbout 12 minutes to read
Getting started

A few practical questions.

What should we bring to the first conversation?

Start with your package architecture and the question you need to answer. Available geometry, stack-up, material data, process temperatures and engineering limits help establish the scope. We can identify missing inputs together.

How much setup does our team have to do?

The engagement starts with expert guidance. Together, we define the physical model, review available inputs and configure the views around your decisions. The goal is a workspace your team can keep using; the setup effort is scoped around your design.

Can we keep using the twin as the design changes?

That is the product's purpose. Explore questions and compare changes within the configured scope. When a new material, process or physical effect changes that scope, review the model and assumptions with the team.

Where can I inspect the reference results?

Open the white paper, First-Principle Physics Prediction of Advanced Chip Packaging, for the source figures and modeling context. The full-package result and the single-engine manufacturing sequence have separate scopes.

Now the question is…

What will your next package do at tapeout?